Saturday, February 16, 2013

The European debt crisis going to end soon!!!



Europe emerging from a period to improve its financial situation that began in August last year, when the President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Mario Draghi announced that it would needed to support countries that are deficient in the Euro zone. This intention is then translated by a specific program for Italy and Spain, to limit the level of interest rates on their debt.

 However the optimism is reversed because of the accumulation of issues such as political scandal in Spain, financial conditions of Ireland. Hence the international markets react accordingly. Indebtedness of most European countries in relation to Gross Domestic Product is rising despite the efforts of Member States. With an average debt of the Euro zone (8000 billion Euros) over 90%, the smallest increase in interest rates impact the refinancing. The Euro zone should refinance more than 1,000 billion Euros in 2013.

 Reforms of the costs and revenues of government continue to impose. Economic lethargy does not seem to decrease. The European GDP growth is almost nil. Hence it is still in recession phase. Without growth, tax revenues are also lethargic and financial costs of states continue to be excessive. In this context, most European economies saw their unemployment rates are increasing. The question that remains is whether this or will improve? Basically, this is the strength of the U.S. economic recovery we can expect an early growth at the end of 2013. And the creation of 157,000 jobs in January 2013 is really good news. But the weakness of Europe is the situation of its banks. Without going into a pessimism that has no purpose, it should not diminish the vigilance that the Euro zone needs to restructure.