Friday, December 18, 2009

TRADING TIMING CHANGE , THE REASON BEHIND IT

SHARE MARKET TIMING CHANGE , THE REASON BEHIND IT



The ego battle between India’s two exchanges comes to a permanent halt.  Bombay stock exchange advanced its timing by ten minutes, reacting sharply to it National stock exchange advanced its time by 55 minutes to 9 A.M.  As there is no other option the Bombay stock exchange also announced opening at the same time.  There is so many mixed reactions in the market most of the peoples object this arbitrary move.




The original move was to check the foreign fund managers using the Singapore market to beat the Nifty by short selling the Nifty futures options over the Singapore market.  Even now also they could not resolve this problem, why because the Singapore is still open well ahead of our revised timings.


Before this revision the BSE will set bench mark prices because by that time NSE may remain closed and hence the BSE will set bench mark prices.  But now the NSE will lose this opportunity.


But there is so many operational hardships are there.  The banks will not open that much earlier hence arranging funds will be a problem other than the strain on their daily routine.


Most of the peoples related to this field oppose this arbitrary move and they feel that they should be consulted before taking this move.


Economic Growth and Social unrest.

Economic Growth and Social unrest.
The Economic growth of a Country is interrelated to the peaceful social conditions of a Country. A social harmony in a country would automatically turns into a peaceful Business atmosphere.
A peaceful and harmonial social environment of a Country would attract foreign Investors to invest in their country. Local businessmen would be doing business peacefully which in turn would put the Economy in growth path.
One best example of Social harmony is important for Economic growth is, India and Pakistan. Though India and Pakistan were in the same plain in the 1990s, India turned out to be big Economic Power by 2008.
The reason is the social unrest in the country had put the economic development into the backseat. Frequent bombings, Killing of Political figures, hate campaign against the westerners has presented a poor picture on that Country.
That has dithered away potential Foreign Investments from that Country. On contrary, India which is having a vibrant democracy and rule of the law has grew leaps and bounds.
When comparing India with China, we say the growth of China is better than India because of this Social harmony factor. Even though our environment is much more better than Pakistan, it is not better than China.
In India, we had frequent terrorist attacks, bombings and political unrest. But in China, there is no such incidents taking place. That is why the growth rate is higher for China than India.
If a country wants to grow Economically, then it surely should have a peaceful social atmosphere.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Which is going to be the next Bear Factor?

Which is going to be the next Bear Factor?
The late 1980s bear market in the world Stock Markets were fuelled by the Gulf war and failure of East Asian Economies like Malaysia, Singapore, Hong Kong and etc. The bear market sustained till 1998.
The early 2000s bear market was fuelled by the dotcom bubble burst and also by the terrorist attack on WTC in USA. Then it terminated only on 2003.
The 2008 bear market was fuelled by real estate bubble, which impacted heavily the USA and also the World Economies. Since then it has pared some of it losses but still vulnerable for another bear attack.
If so, then which is going to be the biggest factor for the next bear market. May be it is real estate itself. As I believe the real impact of the real estate bubble is yet to be felt.
Another possible factor could be a Gold asset Bubble. Peaking Gold prices would lead to Bubble in days to come.
Let us wait and see…

Economy and Stock Markets

Economy and Stock Markets
Are Economic growth and Stock Markets are interrelated. Half of the economists will say ‘Yes’ and half of them will say ‘No’.
According to me it is ‘Yes’. Stock Markets and Economic growth are interrelated because the rise of Stock Markets would attract small investors into the Market which will propel the stock Markets further, which in turn fuel the start of new companies and projects, which in turn help grow Economy.
A rising Stock Market would invite retail Investors and Foreign Investors to invest in the Stock Markets through secondary Markets and also through Initial Public offerrings. This process will infuse huge amount of idle money into the system
The money that came for circulation would be used by the companies to expand, backwared integrate and forward integrate. Thus the production capacities of all companies increases, so they produce more end products.
These end products has to be sold and this will be done by exploring new Markets locally or internationly. Thus the earnings of the companies will increase, which in turn means increased tax for Governments.
Thus a rising stock Market will surely propel a Economic growth.

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

GLOBAL INDUSTRY DOWN TURN A BOON TO THE CHINESE AUTO INDUSTRIES!!!!!!!!!

GLOBAL INDUSTRY DOWN TURN A BOON TO THE CHINESE AUTO INDUSTRIES!!!!!!!!!

The global industry down turn is a double bonanza for the Chinese leading automobile industries. The fast growing Chinese industries are chasing western brands to utilize the steep global industrial down turn.
Beijing  Automotive Industry Holding(BASIC) is one of the largest auto maker in China.  Recently Beijing automotive industry holding acquired Saab unit a part of General Motors  as a part of developing its own cars. More over it will by the intellectual property for 9-5 and 9-3  sedans and other equipments for a huge  unspecified sum.

This deal will help in the new saap production , but the Saap people clearly informed that the deal will not affect the sale of Saab to others.

The Dutch sports and ;luxury car maker SKYPER is also holding talks with general motors for Saab. Not only SKYPER and BASIC  there are so many other automobile manufactures like GEELY automobile groups are running behind the western car manufactures to harvest the benefits of Global industry down turn.

Most of the Chinese Auto mobile industries are running behind VOLKSWAGEN, TOYOTA MOTORS for tie ups .

Acquiring some assets of GM by BASIC  us a boon to the Chinese  company. Though it is a fifth largest automobile maker in china,
It still does not have its own brand car. Hence, even though the Saab platform is old still it  can use it for manufacture its own cars in future. More over it will get support from Saab as it will use the acquired technology in production of its own cars.